TFSA vs. RRSP: Learn which registered account to prioritise with our TFSA and RRSP Guide.

Asset allocation — how you split your portfolio between stocks, bonds, and other assets — determines roughly 90% of your investment returns over time. The good news: it’s simpler than you think with all-in-one ETFs.

Quick answer: Under 40 with a long time horizon? Go 100% stocks (XEQT) or 80/20 (XGRO). Near retirement? Shift to 60/40 (XBAL) or 40/60 (XCNS). Keep 25–30% in Canadian stocks, the rest global. Use a single all-in-one ETF and you never need to rebalance.

Model Portfolios by Age and Risk Tolerance

Age Range Aggressive Moderate Conservative
18–30 100/0 (XEQT) 80/20 (XGRO) 60/40 (XBAL)
30–40 100/0 (XEQT) 80/20 (XGRO) 60/40 (XBAL)
40–50 80/20 (XGRO) 60/40 (XBAL) 40/60 (XCNS)
50–60 60/40 (XBAL) 40/60 (XCNS) 20/80 (XINC)
60+ 40/60 (XCNS) 20/80 (XINC) 0/100 (Bond ETFs)

How Asset Allocation Affects Returns

Allocation Avg Annual Return Best Year Worst Year Max Drawdown Time to Recover
100% Stocks ~9.5% +33% −33% −50% ~5 years
80/20 ~8.5% +27% −25% −40% ~4 years
60/40 ~7.5% +21% −17% −30% ~3 years
40/60 ~6.0% +16% −10% −18% ~2 years
20/80 ~4.5% +12% −5% −10% ~1 year

Based on historical global market data. Past returns don’t guarantee future results.

Geographic Allocation Within Stocks

Region Recommended Weight Why
Canada 25–30% Dividend tax credit, currency diversification, familiar companies
United States 40–45% Largest, most diversified market — tech, healthcare, consumer
International Developed 15–20% Europe, Japan, Australia — additional diversification
Emerging Markets 5–10% China, India, Brazil — higher growth potential, higher risk

All-in-one ETFs like XEQT handle this automatically. No need to manage it yourself.

Growth of $100,000 Over 20 Years by Allocation

Allocation Total Value (20 years) Growth
100% Stocks (9.5%) $616,000 +$516,000
80/20 (8.5%) $511,000 +$411,000
60/40 (7.5%) $424,000 +$324,000
40/60 (6.0%) $321,000 +$221,000
20/80 (4.5%) $241,000 +$141,000

$292,000 difference between 100% stocks and 60/40 over 20 years on the same initial investment.

The Canadian Home Bias Question

Approach Canada Weight Pros Cons
Market-weight (~3%) 3% True global diversification No dividend tax credit benefit
Slight home bias 25–30% Dividend tax credit, lower FX costs Overweight in banks/energy
Heavy home bias (50%+) 50%+ Very tax-efficient dividends Concentrated risk, less diversification
Recommendation 25–30% Balances tax efficiency and diversification

When to Change Your Asset Allocation

Life Event Action
10+ years from needing money Stay aggressive (100% or 80/20 stocks)
5–10 years from retirement Start shifting to 60/40
Entering retirement Move to 40/60 or 50/50
Market crashes 30–40% Don’t change anything — stay the course
Can’t sleep during downturns Move one step more conservative
Income drops significantly Keep investing if possible; don’t sell
Getting large windfall Invest lump sum (statistically better than DCA)

Simple DIY Portfolio vs All-in-One ETF

Approach ETFs Needed Annual Rebalancing Cost
All-in-one (recommended) 1 (XEQT, XGRO, etc.) None 0.20–0.24%
3-fund DIY XIC + XUU + XEF Quarterly or annually 0.06–0.22%
4-fund DIY XIC + XUU + XEF + XEC Quarterly or annually 0.06–0.25%
5-fund DIY (with bonds) XIC + XUU + XEF + XEC + ZAG Quarterly or annually 0.06–0.25%

0.04% savings with DIY isn’t worth the rebalancing complexity for most investors.

Bottom Line

Your asset allocation should match your time horizon and ability to handle volatility — not your desire to maximize returns. If you’re young and investing for 20+ years, XEQT (100% stocks) is hard to beat. If you want a smoother ride, XGRO (80/20) gives you most of the growth with less stomach-churning drops. Pick one all-in-one ETF and automate your contributions.

For related guides, see best index funds in Canada, how to start investing in Canada, and TFSA vs RRSP.

WealthVieu
Written by WealthVieu

WealthVieu researches and writes data-driven personal finance guides using primary sources including the IRS, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, and Census Bureau.

The content on Wealthvieu is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial, tax, or investment advice. Consult a qualified professional before making financial decisions. Full disclaimer · Editorial policy